The Issue Drivers Don’t See
By La Velle Goodwin
Collision Prevention Specialist
Founder, Driving Hero Academy
Most serious intersection collisions don’t occur because drivers break the law - they occur because drivers fail
to see or correctly interpret developing threats. Data from U.S. and Canadian studies shows that recognition
errors, misjudgment of gaps, and over-reliance on right-of-way rules dominate collision causation. This article
explains why ordinary drivers are vulnerable at intersections and what strategic driving practices can prevent
collisions.
Key Takeaways
• Roughly one-quarter of U.S. traffic fatalities and about half of all traffic injuries occur at intersections.
Source: Federal Highway Administration – Intersection Safety
• In the National Motor Vehicle Crash Causation Survey (NMVCCS), roughly 96% of intersection collision events
had driver-attributed critical reasons, with recognition errors dominating.
Source: NMVCCS – National Academies Press
• Recognition errors - failing to see or misinterpreting hazards - are the largest driver-related cause of
collisions.
• Legal right-of-way is a coordination tool, not a safety guarantee.
• Skilled drivers shift focus from “Do I have priority?” to “What could go wrong here right now?”
The Trap Most Drivers Fall Into
Most drivers are trained to follow rules and assume that compliance equates to safety. Over time, this leads
to predictable vulnerabilities:
•
Late threat recognition
•
Narrow or incomplete scanning
•
Overcommitment to a chosen path of travel
•
No contingency planning if expectations are violated
These drivers are not reckless. They are rule-focused, and rule-focus without threat awareness can blind
drivers to developing hazards. Rules organize traffic but cannot substitute for real-time threat assessment.
The Data Behind the Problem
According to the Federal Highway Administration, intersections account for roughly one-quarter of traffic
fatalities and about half of all injuries.
In the NMVCCS crash causation survey, roughly 96% of intersection collision events were driver-attributed,
meaning the last failure in the chain was linked to driver behavior - not legal fault or recklessness.
Recognition errors - such as inattention, inadequate surveillance, or failing to detect another road user in
time - were the largest single category.
Canadian collision patterns at intersections show nearly identical trends, reinforcing the global relevance of
these findings.
Survival Requires a Different Question
Rule-based driving asks: “Do I have the right of way?”
Crash-avoidance driving asks: “What could go wrong here right now?”
Skilled drivers evaluate:
•
Time-to-conflict rather than assumed priority
•
Speed differentials rather than signals alone
•
Line-of-sight limitations rather than ideal behaviours
•
Probability of human error rather than expected compliance
This is the difference between compliance driving and strategic driving.
Why Recognition Errors Kill
Recognition errors account for roughly four out of ten crashes when categorized conservatively. When related
subcategories are combined, recognition failures represent approximately half of all collision events.
Decision errors - misjudging gaps, assuming another driver’s intent, or driving too fast for conditions -
account for an additional one-third of intersection collisions.
Together, this shows that the majority of serious collisions occur because drivers either fail to see the hazard
or misjudge it, not because they break rules knowingly.
The Older Driver Paradox
NHTSA’s analysis shows older drivers are disproportionately involved in failure-to-yield collisions at stop signs
and traffic signals, despite obeying all traffic controls. Common contributing factors:
•
Inadequate surveillance
•
Misjudgment of another vehicle’s speed or gap
•
Turning with an obstructed view
These drivers rely on the rule rather than active threat assessment, exposing a systemic vulnerability.
How Licensing and Testing Reinforce the Problem
Driver exams reward:
•
Rule adherence
•
Procedural correctness
•
Visible compliance
They don’t test:
•
Early threat detection
•
Predictive scanning patterns
•
Risk calibration under uncertainty
•
Decision-making with incomplete information
•
Recognition of visual obstructions and human error
As a result, drivers graduate thinking the system has prepared them for real-world driving, when data shows
otherwise.
Most Fatal Collisions Don’t Involve “Bad Drivers”
•
They involve ordinary people on ordinary trips
•
Ordinary decisions made a fraction of a second too late
Right-of-way failures consistently rank among the top contributing factors in fatal intersection collisions.
Collisions occur not because rules were broken but because rules were trusted to provide protection.
The Four Most Dangerous Assumptions at Intersections
•
“I have the green light, so it’s safe to go.”
•
“They’re slowing down; they see me.”
•
“The other driver will follow the rules.”
•
“I stopped, so I’m good to go.”
Rule compliance cannot substitute for scanning, threat anticipation, and margin-building.
A Better Way to Think About Right-of-Way
Right-of-way is a coordination tool, not a shield. Legally, drivers must yield when conditions demand it - no
one truly “has” the right-of-way until another driver yields through their actions.
Skilled drivers:
•
Yield even when legally entitled
•
Delay when information is incomplete
•
Sacrifice priority for margin
•
Treat legality as secondary to survivability
This is strategic driving.
Cognitive Tunnelling: Why Rules Can Blind Drivers
Focusing exclusively on rule compliance narrows attention and excludes peripheral hazards. Drivers ask: “Did
I stop fully?” instead of “What behaviour cannot be predicted from here?”
Recognition failures are consistent because drivers aren’t trained to look for the threats that actually matter.
The Goal Isn’t to Be Right. It’s to Get Home
Safe driving is about managing risk where:
•
Humans make mistakes
•
Attention fails
•
Conditions change
•
Physics never negotiates
Right-of-way organizes traffic; assuming it does anything more can be deadly.
Frequently Asked Questions
Q: What causes most serious intersection collisions?
A: Recognition errors - failure to notice or misinterpret hazards - account for the majority of serious
intersection collisions.
Q: Does having the right-of-way make driving safe?
A: No. Right-of-way is a coordination tool, not a safety guarantee. Blind reliance leads to collisions.
Q: How common are driver-related causes in collisions?
A: In NMVCCS, about 96% of intersection collision events were driver-attributed.
Q: How can drivers prevent collisions at intersections?
A: Focus on threat anticipation, strategic scanning, assuming others may not follow rules, and leaving margin
for error.
About the Author
La Velle Goodwin is a collision prevention specialist and the founder of Driving Hero Academy. She spent 13
years as a senior instructor at one of North America's most rigorous driver training organizations, completing
a certification requiring substantially deeper training in crash causation, driver psychology, and instruction
methodology than standard driving instructor licensing, with mandatory annual recertification.
She delivered the organization's commercial driver training program, working directly with experienced
professional drivers and observing first-hand the psychological resistance that makes behaviour change so
difficult to achieve in that population. After leaving, she founded a corporate entertainment company whose
programs were built entirely on competitive psychology - using the human drive to compete to move people
toward behaviour they would never choose if simply told to.
That work ran for over a decade across clients including oil and gas companies, Canada Post, and the Calgary
Board of Education. The Crash Proof System brings those two bodies of expertise together: the science of how
collisions develop, and the psychology of what actually makes people change.
ACADEMY
DRIVING HERO
The Issue Drivers Don’t See
Privacy Policy | Terms
By La Velle Goodwin
Collision Prevention Specialist
Founder, Driving Hero Academy
Most serious intersection collisions
don’t occur because drivers break
the law - they occur because drivers
fail to see or correctly interpret
developing threats. Data from U.S.
and Canadian studies shows that
recognition errors, misjudgment of
gaps, and over-reliance on right-of-
way rules dominate collision
causation. This article explains why
ordinary drivers are vulnerable at
intersections and what strategic
driving practices can prevent
collisions.
Key Takeaways
• Roughly one-quarter of U.S. traffic
fatalities and about half of all traffic
injuries occur at intersections.
Source: Federal Highway
Administration – Intersection Safety
• In the National Motor Vehicle
Crash Causation Survey (NMVCCS),
roughly 96% of intersection collision
events had driver-attributed critical
reasons, with recognition errors
dominating.
Source: NMVCCS – National
Academies Press
• Recognition errors - failing to see
or misinterpreting hazards - are the
largest driver-related cause of
collisions.
• Legal right-of-way is a coordination
tool, not a safety guarantee.
• Skilled drivers shift focus from “Do
I have priority?” to “What could go
wrong here right now?”
The Trap Most Drivers
Fall Into
Most drivers are trained to follow
rules and assume that compliance
equates to safety. Over time, this
leads to predictable vulnerabilities:
•
Late threat recognition
•
Narrow or incomplete scanning
•
Overcommitment to a chosen
path of travel
•
No contingency planning if
expectations are violated
These drivers are not reckless. They
are rule-focused, and rule-focus
without threat awareness can blind
drivers to developing hazards. Rules
organize traffic but cannot
substitute for real-time threat
assessment.
The Data Behind the
Problem
According to the Federal Highway
Administration, intersections
account for roughly one-quarter of
traffic fatalities and about half of all
injuries.
In the NMVCCS crash causation
survey, roughly 96% of intersection
collision events were driver-
attributed, meaning the last failure
in the chain was linked to driver
behavior - not legal fault or
recklessness. Recognition errors -
such as inattention, inadequate
surveillance, or failing to detect
another road user in time - were the
largest single category.
Canadian collision patterns at
intersections show nearly identical
trends, reinforcing the global
relevance of these findings.
Survival Requires a
Different Question
Rule-based driving asks: “Do I have
the right of way?”
Crash-avoidance driving asks: “What
could go wrong here right now?”
Skilled drivers evaluate:
•
Time-to-conflict rather than
assumed priority
•
Speed differentials rather than
signals alone
•
Line-of-sight limitations rather
than ideal behaviours
•
Probability of human error
rather than expected compliance
This is the difference between
compliance driving and strategic
driving.
Why Recognition Errors
Kill
Recognition errors account for
roughly four out of ten crashes
when categorized conservatively.
When related subcategories are
combined, recognition failures
represent approximately half of all
collision events.
Decision errors - misjudging gaps,
assuming another driver’s intent, or
driving too fast for conditions -
account for an additional one-third
of intersection collisions.
Together, this shows that the
majority of serious collisions occur
because drivers either fail to see the
hazard or misjudge it, not because
they break rules knowingly.
The Older Driver
Paradox
NHTSA’s analysis shows older
drivers are disproportionately
involved in failure-to-yield collisions
at stop signs and traffic signals,
despite obeying all traffic controls.
Common contributing factors:
•
Inadequate surveillance
•
Misjudgment of another vehicle’s
speed or gap
•
Turning with an obstructed view
These drivers rely on the rule rather
than active threat assessment,
exposing a systemic vulnerability.
How Licensing and
Testing Reinforce the
Problem
Driver exams reward:
•
Rule adherence
•
Procedural correctness
•
Visible compliance
They don’t test:
•
Early threat detection
•
Predictive scanning patterns
•
Risk calibration under
uncertainty
•
Decision-making with incomplete
information
•
Recognition of visual
obstructions and human error
As a result, drivers graduate
thinking the system has prepared
them for real-world driving, when
data shows otherwise.
Most Fatal Collisions
Don’t Involve “Bad
Drivers”
•
They involve ordinary people on
ordinary trips
•
Ordinary decisions made a
fraction of a second too late
Right-of-way failures consistently
rank among the top contributing
factors in fatal intersection
collisions. Collisions occur not
because rules were broken but
because rules were trusted to
provide protection.
The Four Most
Dangerous
Assumptions at
Intersections
•
“I have the green light, so it’s safe
to go.”
•
“They’re slowing down; they see
me.”
•
“The other driver will follow the
rules.”
•
“I stopped, so I’m good to go.”
Rule compliance cannot substitute
for scanning, threat anticipation,
and margin-building.
A Better Way to Think
About Right-of-Way
Right-of-way is a coordination tool,
not a shield. Legally, drivers must
yield when conditions demand it -
no one truly “has” the right-of-way
until another driver yields through
their actions.
Skilled drivers:
•
Yield even when legally entitled
•
Delay when information is
incomplete
•
Sacrifice priority for margin
•
Treat legality as secondary to
survivability
This is strategic driving.
Cognitive Tunnelling:
Why Rules Can Blind
Drivers
Focusing exclusively on rule
compliance narrows attention and
excludes peripheral hazards. Drivers
ask: “Did I stop fully?” instead of
“What behaviour cannot be
perceived from here?”
Recognition failures are consistent
because drivers aren’t trained to
look for the threats that actually
matter.
The Goal Isn’t to Be
Right. It’s to Get Home
Safe driving is about managing risk
where:
•
Humans make mistakes
•
Attention fails
•
Conditions change
•
Physics never negotiates
Right-of-way organizes traffic;
assuming it does anything more can
be deadly.
Frequently
Asked Questions
Q: What causes most
serious intersection
collisions?
A: Recognition errors - failure to
notice or misinterpret hazards -
account for the majority of serious
intersection collisions.
Q: Does having the right-of-
way make driving safe?
A: No. Right-of-way is a coordination
tool, not a safety guarantee. Blind
reliance leads to collisions.
Q: How common are driver-
related causes in collisions?
A: In NMVCCS, about 96% of
intersection collision events were
driver-attributed.
Q: How can drivers prevent
collisions at intersections?
A: Focus on threat anticipation,
strategic scanning, assuming others
may not follow rules, and leaving
margin for error.
About the Author
La Velle Goodwin is a collision
prevention specialist and the
founder of Driving Hero Academy.
She spent 13 years as a senior
instructor at one of North America's
most rigorous driver training
organizations, completing a
certification requiring substantially
deeper training in crash causation,
driver psychology, and instruction
methodology than standard driving
instructor licensing, with mandatory
annual recertification.
She delivered the organization's
commercial driver training program,
working directly with experienced
professional drivers and observing
first-hand the psychological
resistance that makes behaviour
change so difficult to achieve in that
population. After leaving, she
founded a corporate entertainment
company whose programs were
built entirely on competitive
psychology - using the human drive
to compete to move people toward
behaviour they would never choose
if simply told to.
That work ran for over a decade
across clients including oil and gas
companies, Canada Post, and the
Calgary Board of Education. The
Crash Proof System brings those
two bodies of expertise together:
the science of how collisions
develop, and the psychology of what
actually makes people change.